My updated analysis of VA hospitalization data shows your first shot might reduce your risk of hospitalization, the second shot did nothing, and the booster made things worse. Flu shots did nothing.
In my earlier article, VA study published in JAMA shows that COVID *and* flu shots don't reduce your risk of hospitalization, I showed how you could analyze the VA hospitalization data for COVID vs. flu, and by using each disease as a control for the other disease, show that neither vaccine worked. It uses a very simple principle: if a vaccine works, the vaccinated should be hospitalized at a lower rate than the rate they'd be hospitalized for an unrelated respiratory virus.
Today, I did a Fisher exact test on the propensity-score adjusted data in the Xie paper and the results were revealing:
Bottom line: The first shot might have had a narrow benefit, but the second and third shots can't be justified at all. We shouldn't be giving these shots unless the benefits outweigh the risks. Previous articles have pointed out that the shots increased infection risk and increased the case fatality rate, and that's before we even consider the vaccine-caused increase in non-COVID all-cause mortality.
So this new information doesn't change anything: you shouldn't get the shots at all.
I've been doing this for more than 3 years now, and a slightly reduced hospitalization risk after the first shot is the first and only benefit from vaccination that I've seen that might be credible. However, part of the benefit may be due to selection bias because if you got the first shots and didn't die from it, you are less likely to be hospitalized from COVID because you have a stronger immune system.
The VA data shows additional COVID shots are not beneficial.
The data again confirms that the influenza vaccine doesn't work at all.
Finally, even if the small hospitalization benefit of the first COVID shot was statistically significant, the effect size is too small to be meaningful, especially in light of the fact that the COVID CFR which didn't drop after the vaccine rolled out and that one in 6 people reported COVID vaccine adverse events in a recent public poll in Germany.
Bottom line: The data keeps telling us that the COVID shots are nonsensical and should be immediately halted, but health authorities aren't paying attention to the data.