Joaquin Phoenix stars as Arthur Fleck in "Joker: Folie a Deux."Warner Bros.
Warner Bros. took a big swing with "Joker: Folie a Deux." It's turned into a big whiff.
After the billion-dollar success of "Joker" in 2019 on a shoestring budget of just $55 million, the studio greenlit a sequel, offering director Todd Phillips a substantially larger budget of $200 million. As of Wednesday, the film has garnered just $53.8 million domestically, according to Comscore. It's global haul stands at $166 million as of Sunday with updates expected over the weekend.
Panned by critics and audiences, "Joker: Folie a Deux" is not expected to recoup much of its lofty production budget or the additional $100 million in estimated marketing and distribution costs by the end of its theatrical run.
And it's not the only blockbuster-budgeted film to disappoint at the box office this year.
Other studios, including Warner Bros., Universal, Lionsgate and even Sony, have dropped hundreds of millions of dollars on franchise features and star-studded ensembles -- only to see ticket sales sputter. Of course, it's not an unusual occurrence in the theatrical industry.
"A combination of hits and flops are a hallmark of every box office year," said Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst at Comscore. "But, 2024, being subject to a variety of unique challenges to both film production and the release calendar, created an imperfect storm that led to a series of creative misfires and financial failures."
Additionally, as Hollywood contends with a growing streaming market and a more fickle moviegoing public, these misfires could worry investors.
"Before the rise of streaming, assessing a film's financial performance was seemingly clearer cut than it has become in recent years," said Shawn Robbins, director of analytics for Fandango's movie division.
Because of streaming, Hollywood has shortened the theatrical window, bringing movies to the home market much faster than before. This means that potential moviegoers, who might be on the fence about seeing a movie or seeing it quickly, have a shorter time to wait before they can view it from their couch on a streaming service to which they already subscribe. And if that movie has poor reviews, audiences have even less incentive to go out to cinemas.
"In turn, this shift in dynamics and business models might call into question what kind of box office-to-budget ratio constitutes a loss and what doesn't," Robbins noted. "Some numbers are easier to eyeball and identify as a financial misfire without much argument, to be sure. Others may be less obvious to discern in a constantly evolving global marketplace."
For example, a straight-to-streaming movie with a budget of $200 million could be deemed a success for a studio, if it drums up enough views. Meanwhile, a $200 million film that goes to theaters and underperforms is often considered a failure. That's especially true when considering studios are also spending on marketing and promotion costs, usually equal to half of the production budget, and sharing ticket proceeds with cinemas.
For companies like Netflix, Apple or Amazon that have bigger cushions and stakeholders who are traditionally more comfortable with risk, big-budget films going straight to streaming may not faze investors. But for more traditional media companies, that have long traded off their successes at the box office, shareholders still want to see a big theatrical return on investment.
Here's a look at some of the biggest box office disappointments so far in 2024, based on production budgets estimated by IMDb and box office tallies to date from Comscore: